Alec White
The Buffalo Bills head into the final week as the No. 7 seed in the AFC and are still in play to be the No. 5 or No. 6 seed depending on how the Week 18 results shake out.
According to Next Gen Stats, the Bills have the highest chance to be the No. 6 seed with a 38% probability. Buffalo has a 35% chance to be the No. 7 seed and a 27% chance to be the No. 5 seed.
In the Wild Card round, the matchups are as follows for each seed: 2 vs. 7, 3 vs. 6 and 4 vs. 5.
The table below has the updated AFC standings.
Here's how the Bills can earn their seed (not including ties).
5 seed
The Bills can rise to the No. 5 seed with awinover the Jets andlossesby the Texans (vs. Colts) and Chargers (at Denver).
6 seed
The Bills can rise to the No. 6 seed with awinand alossby the TexansORChargers.
OR Billswin+ Jaguarsloss(vs. Titans) + Houstonwin+ Chargerswinstrength of victory/strength of schedule tiebreaker over Buffalo/Jacksonville.
7 seed
A Billslossto the Jets means Buffalo stays put at No. 7.
A Billswin+winsby the Chargers, Texans and Jaguars would also keep Buffalo at the 7-seed.
Tiebreakers
- Houston is ahead of the L.A. Chargers and Buffalo based on head-to-head sweep (2-0).
- The Chargers are ahead of Buffalo based on common games record (5-1 to the Bills' 3-3).
